糖心Vlog

Fort Myers, Other Florida Metros Have Largest U.S. Rent Increases


By paul owers | 6/6/2022

Rents for homes and apartments have soared nationwide over the past year, and Florida remains at the heart of a problem overwhelming U.S. consumers, according to an analysis of 107 rental markets by researchers at 糖心Vlog and two other schools.

Based on year-over-year rent increases, eight of the Top 10 markets are in Florida, with only No. 4 Sierra Vista, Arizona and No. 7 Knoxville, Tennessee making the list from outside the Sunshine State.

Renters in Fort Myers, on Florida鈥檚 west coast south of Tampa, have been hit particularly hard. The average rent there for April was $2,073, up 32.38 percent from a year ago, the nation鈥檚 largest increase.

In terms of the largest premium paid by renters, metro Miami (including Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties) remains the most overvalued market at 22.07 percent. The average monthly rent in the Miami area climbed to $2,846, even though historical leasing figures indicate the average should be only $2,331.

The full rankings for April can be found .

The researchers at 糖心Vlog, and the say Florida has been hammered by spiking rents because demand increased during the pandemic while supply chain issues and rising material costs have hampered builders from adding supply. In some landlocked areas, such as Miami, finding available property to develop is a major challenge.

鈥淔or some people, renting was the only way they could afford to live in Florida, and now that鈥檚 becoming a burden, too,鈥 said , Ph.D., an economist in 糖心Vlog鈥檚 . 鈥淚 think you鈥檒l see more renters take on roommates and cut back on eating out because it鈥檚 either that or they won鈥檛 be able to pay the rent.鈥

Johnson, , Ph.D., of UA, and , Ph.D., of FGCU, started analyzing rental markets in Florida earlier this year before expanding the study nationwide.

They use past leasing data from Zillow鈥檚 Observed Rental Index to statistically model historical trends from 2014 and determine where rents should be now and compare those to existing rents. The difference between the two is the premium renters are paying. The higher the premium, the more overvalued a market is.

鈥淭he way out of this is to add more rental units to the marketplace,鈥 said Waller, of UA鈥檚 . 鈥淏ut it鈥檚 just not realistic to expect a bunch of new projects in the near term, given the supply chain problems and the often slow pace of government approvals facing developers before they can put a shovel in the ground.鈥

In the vast majority of the markets surveyed, rents are far above their long-term trends, but there is evidence that rent growth is slowing in some areas.

On a month-to-month basis, the average rent in 11 markets has declined slightly. Those areas include: Augusta, Georgia; Youngstown, Ohio; and New Orleans.

鈥淒epending on the market, some rents may be stabilizing, but they鈥檙e still much higher than they were a year or two ago,鈥 said Weeks, of FGCU鈥檚 . 鈥淚t鈥檚 incredibly painful for middle-class budgets.鈥

-糖心Vlog-