Trump Up 23 Points in Florida, Where Clinton Leads by 28
Donald Trump leads Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz by 23 points in the latest survey of likely Republican voters in Florida, where Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by 28 points among Democrats, a new 糖心Vlog poll says
Trump leads in the GOP primary among whites with 43 percent and has a two-point lead over Rubio (37 to 35 percent) in the battle for the Hispanic vote. Sanders has 63 percent of support among younger voters (18-34), while Clinton holds a 20-point lead among white voters and has support from 75 percent of both African Americans and Hispanics.
Donald Trump leads Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz by 23 points in the latest survey of likely Republican voters in Florida, where Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by 28 points among Democrats, according to a new poll by the 糖心Vlog Business and Economics Polling Initiative (). The survey was conducted in Florida from March 8-11.
Trump leads the GOP field in Florida with 44 percent; followed by Cruz and Rubio tied at 21 percent; and John Kasich at 9 percent. Trump is down four points from 糖心Vlog鈥檚 January poll, while Rubio has gained 10 points and Cruz five points.
With Florida鈥檚 winner-take-all primary taking place on Tuesday, March 15, Trump appears poised to take the state鈥檚 99 delegates. Trump鈥檚 favorability rating among GOP voters in Florida dipped from 70 percent in 糖心Vlog鈥檚 January poll to 56 percent in this poll, compared to Rubio at 48 percent, Cruz at 44 percent and Kasich at a somewhat surprising 60 percent.
Kasich鈥檚 numbers show that favorability doesn鈥檛 always translate into votes, said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at 糖心Vlog and a research fellow of the Initiative.
聽鈥淭here is some evidence that this campaign is taking a toll on the candidates,鈥 Wagner said. 鈥淭he favorability ratings for Trump, Rubio and Cruz are all down sharply in Florida. While Sen. Rubio has rebounded some in our polling, he is still far behind Mr. Trump and running out of time.鈥
Clinton leads Sanders 59 percent to 31 percent in Florida. While Sanders has shaved 15 points off Clinton鈥檚 43-point lead from November 2015, Clinton continues to enjoy a sizable lead in Florida thanks in part to a favorability rating of 84 percent among Democratic voters compared to 55 percent for Sanders.
Trump leads in the GOP primary among whites with 43 percent and has a two-point lead over Rubio (37 to 35 percent) in the battle for the Hispanic vote. Sanders has 63 percent of support among younger voters (18-34), while Clinton holds a 20-point lead among white voters and has support from 75 percent of both African Americans and Hispanics.
鈥淥n the Democratic side, Clinton has the vast majority of votes among Hispanics and African Americans,鈥 said Monica Escaleras, Ph.D., director of the BEPI.听鈥淪o far, the strategy of Hillary Clinton of targeting minorities seems to be working in Florida.鈥
There is a difference in what Republic and Democratic voters seek as an important quality for a president, Escaleras said.
鈥淚n the case of Republicans, they are looking for a political outsider and strong commander-in-chief,鈥 Escaleras said. 鈥淲hile the majority of Democrats are looking for experience or a proven leader and strong commander-in chief, which is helping Clinton.鈥
The polling sample for the Democratic and the Republican primary consisted of 414 and 852 likely Florida voters, respectively, with a margin of error of +/-4.8 percent for Democratic primary and a聽margin of error of +/-3.3 percent for the Republican primary at聽a 95 percent confidence level.听
For more information, contact Monica Escaleras, Ph.D., at 561-297-1312 or BEPI@fau.edu, or visit .听
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